Further to this post in November, the authors have updated their article. The second paragraph of the abstract of this article by Jeremy Kidd (Mercer University - Walter F. George School of Law), Riddhi Sohan Dasgupta (University of California, Berkeley), Ryan D. Walters (Independent) and James Cleith Phillips (University of California, Berkeley, School of Law, Students) says:
We have updated the paper in light of recent developments (see pages 12-15). Specifically, the shortlist is now rumored to be down to three names: Gorsuch, Hardiman, and Pryor. We have calculated the likelihood that the potential nominees will be the most Scalia-like of the group, and for comparison’s sake have added data on Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Samuel Alito from their time on the D.C. Circuit and Third Circuit, respectively. We find that Gorsuch (62.2-79.4%) and Pryor (70.5-76.7%) have much higher likelihoods of being the most Scalia-like of the potential nominees than Hardiman (34.8-42.9%). In fact, Hardiman looks more like John Roberts (32.6-33.7%) or Samuel Alito (39.4-52.8%) did when they were federal appellate judges.